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Tesla's S&P 500 Inclusion Part 3: The Final Chapter

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Previous installments: Tesla's S&P 500 Inclusion: Predicting TSLA's post-inclusion stock price Tesla's S&P 500 Inclusion Part 2: Predicting the transformation of the TSLA float Options market and delta hedging knowledge: The TSLA Options Market is an order of magnitude larger than any other The Mechanisms That Fueled TSLA's Meteoric Q1'20 Rise  (chapter 4) Tesla's S&P 500 Inclusion Part 2: Predicting the transformation of the TSLA float (chapter 5) Table of Contents: Introduction 3:00PM - 3:50PM The Closing Cross After Hours Trading TSLA Going Forward Final Thoughts 1: Introduction I finished writing about half of this post, and then as I came to better understand what transpired on Friday, I deleted everything, and now I am starting again from scratch. I stayed up for 36 hours straight from Friday morning Singapore time to Saturday night Singapore time, and I've spent 80-90% of my time on TSLA since the S&P announcement. Moreover, I spent b...

Tesla's S&P 500 Inclusion Part 2: Predicting the transformation of the TSLA float

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This is a follow-up to my previous S&P inclusion post: Tesla's S&P 500 Inclusion: Predicting TSLA's post-inclusion stock price This post is also, in a way, a continuation of my TSLA Holders series: The Mechanisms That Fueled TSLA's Meteoric Q1'20 Rise TSLA Holders Q1'20 (Top 58) TSLA Holders Q2'20 (Top 69) The model I am presenting in this blog post can be viewed and downloaded here: TSLA Holders S&P - PDF TSLA Holders S&P - Excel TSLA Holders S&P - Numbers The "S&P" tab is the model I am presenting in this blog post. The "#" tab is my TSLA Holders spreadsheet, in which I've been keeping track of Tesla's largest shareholders. The "%" tab is the same data in percentages. The "TSLA" tab has some miscellaneous data. The "S&P old version" tab is a primitive, old version of the model I am presenting in this blog post for the super curious, who want to take a look at how this predict...